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Tackle youth crime with High Intensity Training Camps

Reform UK · what the evidence says

An independent, source-checked look at Reform UK’s policy “Tackle youth crime with High Intensity Training Camps” — what it would actually do across the things that affect your life. Every claim below quotes the source behind it. How this works.

Crime, justice & national security — Hurts

minor · moderate confidence

The evidence from multiple reviews suggests that military-style training camps for young offenders do not reduce reoffending and may slightly increase it — though the effect depends heavily on how much rehabilitative support is included. The policy as stated emphasises discipline and values rather than the therapeutic aftercare that drove any past successes.

The evidence

Biggest unknown: Whether the reopened camps would include robust rehabilitative aftercare and therapeutic components, which the evidence suggests are the actual drivers of any positive outcome.

Our reading: The policy commits to reopening High Intensity Training Camps with a focus on education, teamwork, and values — but says nothing about therapeutic aftercare, trauma-informed care, or community reintegration support. The evidence base is notably negative: the YEF's high-confidence finding is a 6% average increase in future offending; the College of Policing finds no statistically significant benefit; and the Campbell Collaboration places boot camps on par with prison. The two UK trials split: Thorn Cross showed short-term gains, but these were driven by its rehabilitative components, not the military-style discipline. Colchester — the more punitive of the two — increased violent offending and lost 89p per £1 invested. The policy as stated more closely resembles the Colchester model (discipline and values) than the Thorn Cross model (rehabilitation and aftercare). Without a committed therapeutic and aftercare mechanism — which the policy does not mention — the balance of evidence points to a marginal worsening of reoffending outcomes. The effect is scored 'minor' rather than 'moderate' because the absolute population covered by any such camps would be small, and because the Thorn Cross evidence does leave open the possibility that a well-designed camp could avoid harm. However, the policy text gives no grounds for confidence that the design would be well-suited to what the evidence actually supports.

Education & opportunity — Hurts

moderate · moderate confidence

The evidence from multiple reviews suggests boot camps for young offenders do not reduce reoffending and may make it worse — so any basic education delivered this way is unlikely to improve young people's long-term opportunities. The main caveat is that the one UK camp with a strong rehabilitative and education focus did show some early promise, but experts attribute that to those elements, not the military-style regime.

The evidence

Biggest unknown: Whether the policy would replicate the rehabilitative Thorn Cross model or the punitive Colchester model would change the verdict, but the stated policy text does not specify this.

Our reading: The policy promises basic education within High Intensity Training Camps. On the evidence, the vehicle chosen — a boot camp model — is likely to undermine rather than reinforce educational opportunity for the young people involved. The YEF, the College of Policing, and the Campbell Collaboration all find that boot camps on average do not reduce reoffending and can increase it. For O7, this matters because educational progress and opportunity for young offenders depends on sustained, stable, trauma-informed support. Boot camps, as evidenced by the Colchester failure, isolate young people from communities and families, increase reoffending, and do not address underlying causes of offending like trauma. Even where some basic education is delivered inside the camps, the removal from community networks and the lack of effective aftercare undermines any gains. The one partial UK success (Thorn Cross) is attributed by evaluators to its rehabilitative components — precisely what a military-style regime tends to crowd out. The IFS evidence on youth club closures reinforces the direction of evidence: community-based educational support improves outcomes; custodial isolation worsens them. On balance, the evidence leans clearly toward the boot camp mechanism worsening educational and developmental opportunity for the cohort it targets, even if the policy's stated intent includes basic education. The magnitude is moderate rather than major because the numbers of young people in such camps would be limited, constraining the scale of harm.